Renate 1-0 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
31%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
40%
+5.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
0.95/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.67
-14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +61%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
05.03.2023 Renate Renate 1-4 HT 1-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
30.10.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-4 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
24.04.2022 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
18.12.2021 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 0-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
29.03.2015 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 0-0 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
17.11.2014 Renate Renate 1-2 HT 0-2 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
1-0
AWAY FeralpiSalo
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Renate vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate nicked a narrow win over FeralpiSalo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FeralpiSalo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Renate had 38% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 62%, shots finished 6-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Renate and 1.17 for FeralpiSalo.

What was the final score of Renate vs FeralpiSalo?

Renate 1-0 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Renate 26%, draw 28%, FeralpiSalo 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FeralpiSalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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