GIANA Erminio 1-2 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.16
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
5.29
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
50%
-11.8pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.63/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.18
+9% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-2 HT 0-1 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
13.03.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 5-1 HT 2-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
31.10.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
18.04.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
23.12.2020 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
15.12.2019 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-3 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-2
AWAY Pro Patria
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past GIANA Erminio 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Pro Patria made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 62% of the ball to Pro Patria's 38%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for GIANA Erminio and 2.00 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria?

GIANA Erminio 1-2 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 38%, draw 32%, Pro Patria 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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