SS Monopoli 1-2 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
47%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.17
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.27
6+ Goals
12%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.1pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
47%
Away Win
40%
+7.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.21/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.97
+12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Casertana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2023 Casertana Casertana 1-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
15.04.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Casertana Casertana İTC
07.12.2020 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
08.03.2020 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
23.10.2019 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
06.12.2015 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-2
AWAY Casertana
31% Ball Possession 69%
2 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana squeezed past SS Monopoli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 31% of the ball to Casertana's 69%, shots finished 2-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casertana led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.50 for Casertana.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Casertana?

SS Monopoli 1-2 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 25%, draw 28%, Casertana 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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