Novara vs Alessandria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novara v Alessandria — Team-Based Signals
Novara vs Alessandria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Novara
İTC
2-1
HT 1-0
Novara
İTCK
2-1
HT 1-1
Alessandria
İTC
1-2
HT 1-1
Novara
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Novara
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Alessandria
İTCK
Novara 1-0 Alessandria — Actual Match Statistics
Novara nicked a narrow win over Alessandria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Novara as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Novara had 57% of the ball to Alessandria's 43%, shots finished 19-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alessandria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Novara and 1.00 for Alessandria.
What was the final score of Novara vs Alessandria?
Novara 1-0 Alessandria in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novara vs Alessandria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Novara 44%, draw 27%, Alessandria 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.