Picerno 3-0 Virtus Francavilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.19
No
48%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.38
2-3 Goals
46%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
12%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.4pp
48%
BTTS No
58%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Francavilla EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -17%
1.47/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.33
-8% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
16.04.2023 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
11.12.2022 Picerno Picerno 2-1 HT 2-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
20.03.2022 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 0-1 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
14.11.2021 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla İTC
01.03.2020 Virtus Francavilla Virtus Francavilla 1-2 HT 1-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
3-0
AWAY Virtus Francavilla
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Virtus Francavilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno cruised past Virtus Francavilla 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Picerno had 53% of the ball to Virtus Francavilla's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Picerno and 0.50 for Virtus Francavilla.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Virtus Francavilla?

Picerno 3-0 Virtus Francavilla in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Virtus Francavilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Picerno 52%, draw 28%, Virtus Francavilla 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
6 Jan 2024
16:00 Novara vs Alessandria Analysis →
16:00 GIANA Erminio vs Pro Patria Analysis →
16:00 Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II Analysis →
16:00 AlbinoLeffe vs Vicenza Analysis →
16:00 SS Monopoli vs Casertana Analysis →
18:15 Arezzo vs Rimini Analysis →