Arezzo 1-0 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.63
6+ Goals
11%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.41/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.14
+15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
366 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Rimini
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-2 HT 0-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
26.05.2007 Rimini Rimini 0-2 HT 0-1 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
15.01.2007 Arezzo Arezzo 4-1 HT 2-1 Rimini Rimini İTB
01.05.2006 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTB
26.11.2005 Rimini Rimini 2-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
1-0
AWAY Rimini
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo nicked a narrow win over Rimini 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arezzo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arezzo had 48% of the ball to Rimini's 52%, shots finished 17-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arezzo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Arezzo and 1.00 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Rimini?

Arezzo 1-0 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 43%, draw 27%, Rimini 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5
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