Virtus Verona 0-1 Atalanta II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Jan 2024

📅06/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
38%
3.04
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.75
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-5.0pp
38%
Draw
29%
+9.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.28/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.20
+10% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atalanta II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 2-3 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
0-1
AWAY Atalanta II
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II squeezed past Virtus Verona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 38% / 32%) promised a tight game; Atalanta II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 47% of the ball to Atalanta II's 53%, shots finished 18-17.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II?

Virtus Verona 0-1 Atalanta II in the Italy - Serie C on 06/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Atalanta II?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 30%, draw 38%, Atalanta II 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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