US Latina 3-1 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Jan 2025

📅05/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.22
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.81
No
57%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
78%
-18.7pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.8pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
32%
+11.6pp
57%
BTTS No
68%
-11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Taranto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Taranto Taranto 1-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
07.05.2024 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
22.12.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.02.2023 Taranto Taranto 1-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
08.10.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
30.01.2022 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
3-1
AWAY Taranto
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina got the better of Taranto 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had US Latina as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Latina had 68% of the ball to Taranto's 32%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taranto led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for US Latina and 0.67 for Taranto.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Taranto?

US Latina 3-1 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 05/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split US Latina 59%, draw 25%, Taranto 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Latina), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (US Latina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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