Taranto 1-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
4.8
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.48 — our 36% vs market 34.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-6.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
0.67/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.90
-43% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
3W-2D-1L
AWAY US Latina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2024 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
22.12.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-1 HT 1-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.02.2023 Taranto Taranto 1-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
08.10.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
30.01.2022 US Latina US Latina 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
26.09.2021 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 0-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
1-1
AWAY US Latina
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Taranto vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto and US Latina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 29%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Taranto had 44% of the ball to US Latina's 56%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Taranto had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Taranto and 0.33 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Taranto vs US Latina?

Taranto 1-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taranto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Taranto 38%, draw 33%, US Latina 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Taranto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taranto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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