Pontedera 1-2 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.95
6+ Goals
11%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-3.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.25/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.86
+8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ternana
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
22.07.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 0-3 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana HAZ
22.07.2022 Ternana Ternana 3-0 Pontedera Pontedera HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-2
AWAY Ternana
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana squeezed past Pontedera 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pontedera had 47% of the ball to Ternana's 53%, shots finished 4-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ternana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Pontedera and 3.00 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Ternana?

Pontedera 1-2 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 32%, draw 25%, Ternana 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5
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