Perugia 3-0 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Aug 2024

Perugia
3-0 HT 1-0
SPAL
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.54/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.47
+18% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perugia
3W-3D-0L
AWAY SPAL
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.83 xG 1.02
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
214 Passes 310
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.01.2024 Perugia Perugia 3-1 HT 0-1 SPAL SPAL İTC
15.09.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 1-2 Perugia Perugia İTC
30.04.2023 SPAL SPAL 1-1 HT 0-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
08.12.2022 Perugia Perugia 0-0 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTB
16.03.2022 Perugia Perugia 1-1 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTB
01.11.2021 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 1-1 Perugia Perugia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
3-0
AWAY SPAL
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Perugia vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perugia cruised past SPAL 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Perugia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perugia had 47% of the ball to SPAL's 53%, shots finished 16-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Perugia and 0.83 for SPAL.

What was the final score of Perugia vs SPAL?

Perugia 3-0 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Perugia 40%, draw 29%, SPAL 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Perugia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
30 Aug 2024
21:45 Pontedera vs Ternana Analysis →
21:45 Taranto vs US Latina Analysis →
21:45 Lucchese vs Gubbio Analysis →
21:45 Alcione vs Virtus Verona Analysis →
21:45 Casertana vs Juventus II Analysis →
21:45 Audace Cerignola vs ACR Messina Analysis →