Perugia vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Perugia v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Perugia 3-1 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia got the better of SPAL 3-1. From 0-1 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, SPAL saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 19-12.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Perugia against 0.67 for SPAL.
Perugia vs SPAL Result & Final Score
Perugia 3 - 1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Perugia vs SPAL Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Perugia 45%, draw 29%, SPAL 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.