Perugia vs SPAL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v SPAL — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs SPAL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Perugia
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Perugia
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
1-1
HT 0-0
SPAL
İTB
1-2
HT 1-1
Perugia
İTB
0-0
HT 0-0
SPAL
HAZ
Perugia 3-1 SPAL — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia got the better of SPAL 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Perugia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perugia had 49% of the ball to SPAL's 51%, shots finished 19-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perugia had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perugia and 0.67 for SPAL.
What was the final score of Perugia vs SPAL?
Perugia 3-1 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs SPAL?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Perugia 39%, draw 28%, SPAL 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.