Trento AC 1-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trento AC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
0.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.51
-20% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trento AC
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Novara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.09.2023 Novara Novara 0-3 HT 0-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
22.04.2023 Trento AC Trento AC 2-1 HT 2-1 Novara Novara İTC
17.12.2022 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trento AC
1-1
AWAY Novara
66% Ball Possession 34%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trento AC vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC and Novara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Trento AC had 66% of the ball to Novara's 34%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trento AC had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trento AC and 0.67 for Novara.

What was the final score of Trento AC vs Novara?

Trento AC 1-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trento AC vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trento AC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Trento AC 37%, draw 28%, Novara 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trento AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trento AC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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