Sassari Torres 1-0 Olbia 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.44
No
66%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.73
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
3.96
6+ Goals
7%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 34% vs market 29.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
68%
+0.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.4pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.9pp
34%
BTTS Yes
37%
-3.2pp
66%
BTTS No
63%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 14%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.33/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.83
+27% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassari Torres
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Olbia 1905
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-0 HT 1-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTCK
16.09.2023 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 0-3 HT 0-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
26.02.2023 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 3-1 HT 2-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
23.10.2022 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
05.10.2022 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 2-1 HT 2-1 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassari Torres
1-0
AWAY Olbia 1905
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sassari Torres vs Olbia 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres edged past Olbia 1905 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sassari Torres as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Sassari Torres had 50% of the ball to Olbia 1905's 50%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Sassari Torres and 1.20 for Olbia 1905.

What was the final score of Sassari Torres vs Olbia 1905?

Sassari Torres 1-0 Olbia 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassari Torres vs Olbia 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Sassari Torres 69%, draw 18%, Olbia 1905 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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