ACR Messina 1-0 Taranto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.97
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
6.13
6+ Goals
7%
46.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Taranto EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.11/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -49%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Taranto
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 Taranto Taranto 2-0 HT 2-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
23.04.2023 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
18.12.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-2 HT 0-2 Taranto Taranto İTC
10.04.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
05.12.2021 Taranto Taranto 0-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
1-0
AWAY Taranto
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Taranto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina squeezed past Taranto 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 39% — and on the day ACR Messina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, ACR Messina had 61% of the ball to Taranto's 39%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Taranto led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for ACR Messina and 0.80 for Taranto.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Taranto?

ACR Messina 1-0 Taranto in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Taranto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Taranto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 33%, draw 29%, Taranto 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Taranto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taranto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
21 Jan 2024
16:00 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria Analysis →
16:00 Trento AC vs Novara Analysis →
16:45 Sorrento Calcio vs Torre Neapolis Analysis →
18:00 Sassari Torres vs Olbia 1905 Analysis →
18:15 Perugia vs SPAL Analysis →
18:15 Sestri Levante vs Virtus Entella Analysis →