Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.63
6+ Goals
8%
39.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.0pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -7%
1.14/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.14
-15% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
23.12.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.09.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
0-1
AWAY Pro Patria
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria nicked a narrow win over Arzignano Valchiampo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 58% of the ball to Pro Patria's 42%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 0.67 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria?

Arzignano Valchiampo 0-1 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 46%, draw 25%, Pro Patria 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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