Audace Cerignola 2-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.18
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +7%
1.85/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.51
+7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
3W-1D-0L
AWAY ACR Messina
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.01.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-2 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
02.09.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-2 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
05.02.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
08.10.2022 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 3-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
2-0
AWAY ACR Messina
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola beat ACR Messina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 49% of the ball to ACR Messina's 51%, shots finished 15-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Audace Cerignola and 0.75 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs ACR Messina?

Audace Cerignola 2-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 48%, draw 27%, ACR Messina 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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