Lucchese 0-1 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.24
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.51
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.7pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.14/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.97
-2% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gubbio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.01.2024 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
19.09.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 0-0 HT 0-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
18.03.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 2-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
20.11.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 0-2 HT 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
01.05.2022 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
19.03.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 2-2 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
0-1
AWAY Gubbio
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio nicked a narrow win over Lucchese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Gubbio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Lucchese had 55% of the ball to Gubbio's 45%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lucchese and 1.33 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Gubbio?

Lucchese 0-1 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 37%, draw 31%, Gubbio 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lucchese), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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