Casarano 1-1 Siracusa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.92
2-3 Goals
34%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.92 — our 35% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casarano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Siracusa EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.60/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.59
+29% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casarano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Siracusa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Siracusa Siracusa 4-1 HT 1-1 Casarano Casarano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casarano
1-1
AWAY Siracusa
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casarano vs Siracusa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casarano and Siracusa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Casarano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Casarano had 51% of the ball to Siracusa's 49%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Casarano vs Siracusa?

Casarano 1-1 Siracusa in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casarano vs Siracusa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casarano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Casarano 41%, draw 25%, Siracusa 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Casarano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Casarano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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