Siracusa 4-1 Casarano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.71
6+ Goals
12%
16.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 33% vs market 28.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Siracusa EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Casarano EU Bookmakers 40%
+54% / +54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/2.01
+72% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% / -45%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Siracusa
4-1
AWAY Casarano
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Siracusa vs Casarano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Siracusa ran out comfortable winners over Casarano 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Siracusa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Siracusa had 58% of the ball to Casarano's 42%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of Siracusa vs Casarano?

Siracusa 4-1 Casarano in the Italy - Serie C on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Siracusa vs Casarano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Siracusa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Siracusa 39%, draw 24%, Casarano 37%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Siracusa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Siracusa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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