Cavese 1-0 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
52%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.66
6+ Goals
13%
15.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.66 — our 23% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.9pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.1pp
52%
Away Win
43%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
0.97/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.40
-13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Crotone
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.01.2025 Crotone Crotone 1-1 HT 1-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
02.09.2024 Cavese Cavese 2-1 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
1-0
AWAY Crotone
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cavese squeezed past Crotone 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cavese had 30% of the ball to Crotone's 70%, shots finished 6-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cavese had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cavese and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Crotone?

Cavese 1-0 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cavese 27%, draw 21%, Crotone 52%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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