Arzignano Valchiampo 3-3 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.55
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.11/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.33
-15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
30.09.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
01.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
07.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
24.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
3-3
AWAY Lumezzane
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo and Lumezzane shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 40% of the ball to Lumezzane's 60%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.20 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lumezzane?

Arzignano Valchiampo 3-3 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 46%, draw 24%, Lumezzane 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
25 Oct 2025
15:30 Union Brescia vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
15:30 Ternana vs Arezzo Analysis →
15:30 Juventus II vs Pontedera Analysis →
15:30 Nuova Monterosi vs Sassari Torres Analysis →
15:30 Cavese vs Crotone Analysis →
15:30 Atalanta II vs Picerno Analysis →