Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.00/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.09
-23% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-0 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
01.03.2024 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 0-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
07.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-1 HT 1-0 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTCK
24.10.2023 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1-1
AWAY Lumezzane
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo and Lumezzane shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arzignano Valchiampo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 57% of the ball to Lumezzane's 43%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lumezzane led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Arzignano Valchiampo and 1.25 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lumezzane?

Arzignano Valchiampo 1-1 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 41%, draw 29%, Lumezzane 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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