Salernitana 2-1 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 26 Oct 2025

📅26/10/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.97/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.91
+26% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Casertana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
09.05.2015 Salernitana Salernitana 1-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
2-1
AWAY Casertana
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salernitana nicked a narrow win over Casertana 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Salernitana as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Salernitana had 48% of the ball to Casertana's 52%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs Casertana?

Salernitana 2-1 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 26/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 54%, draw 22%, Casertana 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salernitana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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