Hoffenheim II 3-2 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 10 May 2026

Hoffenheim II
3-2 HT 2-0
Saarbrücken
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Hoffenheim II vs Saarbrücken Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.94
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
55%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.13
2-3 Goals
40%
2.08
4-5 Goals
26%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
5.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.55
1/2
4%
19.3
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
7%
7.58
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.21
X/X
11%
6.52
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
28%
2.57
2/X
4%
12.55
Value flag · X/2 at 5.21 — our 22% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
55%
Away Win
47%
+8.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.3pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hoffenheim II v Saarbrücken — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 51%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.76/2.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.52
+33% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.9 Crosses 22.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Hoffenheim II vs Saarbrücken Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hoffenheim II
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Saarbrücken
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
460 Passes 210
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Crosses 42
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-2 HT 2-2 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II AL3
17.09.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
18.09.2015 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-1 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
05.04.2015 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 1-2 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken ALMBÖL

Hoffenheim II 3-2 Saarbrücken — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim II
3-2
AWAY Saarbrücken
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 23
14 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
429 Passes 477
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim II vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim II squeezed past Saarbrücken 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Saarbrücken carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hoffenheim II had 46% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 54%, shots finished 18-23.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hoffenheim II and 1.75 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim II vs Saarbrücken?

Hoffenheim II 3-2 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim II vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim II 25%, draw 21%, Saarbrücken 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
10 May 2026
17:30 Viktoria Köln vs Alemannia Aachen Analysis →