Saarbrücken 2-2 Hoffenheim II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2025

📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.42
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
12%
5.92
X/2
13%
5.98
X/X
17%
5.64
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
13%
3.61
2/X
6%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
1.71/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/2.52
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -44%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
323 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.6 Crosses 8.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Hoffenheim II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 6
17.09.2019 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
18.09.2015 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 3-1 HT 2-1 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II ALMBÖL
05.04.2015 Hoffenheim II Hoffenheim II 1-2 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
2-2
AWAY Hoffenheim II
38% Ball Possession 62%
23 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 5
210 Passes 460
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
42 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Hoffenheim II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken and Hoffenheim II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 38% of the ball to Hoffenheim II's 62%, shots finished 23-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.67 for Hoffenheim II.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Hoffenheim II?

Saarbrücken 2-2 Hoffenheim II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Hoffenheim II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 36%, draw 28%, Hoffenheim II 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saarbrücken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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