Ingolstadt 1-2 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 13 Dec 2025

Ingolstadt
1-2 HT 1-1
1860 München
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Ingolstadt vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.46
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.74
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
8%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.45
2/2
17%
3.78
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.88
+5% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.8 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Ingolstadt vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY 1860 München
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.02.2025 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
31.08.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
11.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
16.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
03.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
08.10.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

Ingolstadt 1-2 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-2
AWAY 1860 München
57% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 2
403 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München squeezed past Ingolstadt 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 57% of the ball to 1860 München's 43%, shots finished 21-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 1860 München led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.83 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs 1860 München?

Ingolstadt 1-2 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 42%, draw 22%, 1860 München 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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