Ingolstadt 1-2 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2024

Ingolstadt
1-2 HT 0-1
1860 München
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Ingolstadt vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
13%
7.97
X/X
11%
5.2
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
12%
5.8
2/X
9%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ingolstadt v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.64/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.33
-6% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
19.4 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5

Ingolstadt vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
3W-0D-3L
AWAY 1860 München
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
16.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
03.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
08.10.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
22.05.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
18.01.2021 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

Ingolstadt 1-2 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
1-2
AWAY 1860 München
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 5
312 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München squeezed past Ingolstadt 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 58% of the ball to 1860 München's 42%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ingolstadt and 1.67 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs 1860 München?

Ingolstadt 1-2 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 43%, draw 27%, 1860 München 31%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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