Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 31 Aug 2024

Arminia Bielefeld
1-1 HT 0-0
Sandhausen
📅31/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Arminia Bielefeld vs Sandhausen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.43
X/X
8%
5.15
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
13%
5.33
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
14.1
Value flag · 2/X at 14.1 — our 13% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Arminia Bielefeld v Sandhausen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.13/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.35
-34% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
413 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Arminia Bielefeld vs Sandhausen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sandhausen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.00 xG 1.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
310 Passes 193
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.04.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-2 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
11.11.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
29.01.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-2 HT 1-2 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
16.07.2022 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
12.06.2020 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
23.11.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 HT 1-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Sandhausen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
1-1
AWAY Sandhausen
65% Ball Possession 35%
25 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
382 Passes 172
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
36 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld and Sandhausen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 65% of the ball to Sandhausen's 35%, shots finished 25-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.17 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Sandhausen?

Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 45%, draw 28%, Sandhausen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
31 Aug 2024
15:00 Waldhof Mannheim vs Saarbrücken Analysis →
15:00 Alemannia Aachen vs Erzgebirge Aue Analysis →
15:00 Ingolstadt vs 1860 München Analysis →
15:00 Dynamo Dresden vs Stuttgart II Analysis →
17:30 Borussia Dortmund II vs Osnabrück Analysis →