1860 München 3-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 11 Feb 2024

1860 München
3-1 HT 1-0
Ingolstadt
📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

1860 München vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.57
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
12%
5.43
X/2
9%
5.51
X/X
9%
4.79
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.64
2/X
10%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.18
+23% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
17.1 Crosses 19.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

1860 München vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.58
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
253 Passes 291
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
03.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
08.10.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
22.05.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
18.01.2021 1860 München 1860 München 1-0 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
04.07.2020 1860 München 1860 München 0-2 HT 0-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

1860 München 3-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
3-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München saw off Ingolstadt 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; 1860 München found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, 1860 München had 44% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 56%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ingolstadt led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for 1860 München and 1.67 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Ingolstadt?

1860 München 3-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 39%, draw 28%, Ingolstadt 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1860 München), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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