1860 München 1-1 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2025

1860 München
1-1 HT 0-0
Ingolstadt
📅08/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

1860 München vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.29
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.32
X/2
16%
5.33
X/X
14%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

1860 München v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.18/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.88
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
364 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
18.0 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

1860 München vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ingolstadt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
196 Passes 312
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-2 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
11.02.2024 1860 München 1860 München 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
16.09.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 1860 München 1860 München AL3
03.04.2023 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 0-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
08.10.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 0-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
22.05.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 3-1 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3

1860 München 1-1 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
1-1
AWAY Ingolstadt
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München and Ingolstadt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, 1860 München had 54% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 46%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for 1860 München and 1.67 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Ingolstadt?

1860 München 1-1 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 34%, draw 26%, Ingolstadt 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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