Saarbrücken 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.56
6+ Goals
10%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.95
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
11%
6.83
X/X
11%
4.73
2/1
10%
24.7
2/2
11%
4.92
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
2.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.73
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.0 Crosses 19.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
199 Passes 346
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
18.02.2024 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 0-2 HT 0-2 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
23.09.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
02.04.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-1 HT 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
08.10.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-0 HT 1-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
09.04.2022 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
2-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
195 Passes 334
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken squeezed past Waldhof Mannheim 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 41% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 59%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.50 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Saarbrücken 2-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 47%, draw 25%, Waldhof Mannheim 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5
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