Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.63
No
40%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.93
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.94
6+ Goals
15%
8.52
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.94 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
16%
4.37
X/2
8%
9.67
X/X
9%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.4
2/2
14%
7.11
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
57%
+2.7pp
40%
BTTS No
43%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
2.20/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.97
+25% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
20.7 Crosses 14.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Unterhaching
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 4
434 Passes 244
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
02.03.2024 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-3 HT 1-2 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
04.10.2023 Unterhaching Unterhaching 4-0 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
15.04.2007 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 HT 1-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
12.11.2006 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL2
22.05.2005 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 0-1 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-1
AWAY Unterhaching
64% Ball Possession 36%
35 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
350 Passes 168
78% Pass Accuracy 63%
36 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Unterhaching couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Essen at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 64% of the ball to Unterhaching's 36%, shots finished 35-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Unterhaching led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.17 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 51%, draw 22%, Unterhaching 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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