Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 8 Feb 2025

📅08/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
17.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.33
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
11%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.12
X/2
13%
6.22
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
18%
4.49
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
41%
-10.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.6pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.51/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.16
-2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
459 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
364 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-2 HT 1-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL3
11.12.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
16.07.2011 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 1-0 HT 0-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
17.04.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-5 HT 1-1 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
21.11.2010 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue 2-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
16.04.2008 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzgebirge Aue Erzgebirge Aue AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue
1-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
430 Passes 219
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzgebirge Aue and Alemannia Aachen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue had 62% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 38%, shots finished 15-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzgebirge Aue had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Erzgebirge Aue and 0.83 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen?

Erzgebirge Aue 1-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 08/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue 30%, draw 32%, Alemannia Aachen 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alemannia Aachen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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