Rochedale Rovers 3-1 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
56%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
15%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-2.6pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.0pp
56%
Away Win
48%
+7.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
+0.0pp
34%
BTTS No
34%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 52%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
0.95/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.62/1.64
-34% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochedale Rovers
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
14.04.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
13.08.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
05.05.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochedale Rovers saw off Brisbane Olympic FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Brisbane Olympic FC carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brisbane Olympic FC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rochedale Rovers and 1.25 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Rochedale Rovers 3-1 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochedale Rovers vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rochedale Rovers 26%, draw 18%, Brisbane Olympic FC 56%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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