Brisbane Olympic FC 2-0 Rochedale Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 27%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.58/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.33
-24% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.1 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rochedale Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
05.05.2023 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers 2-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Olympic FC vs Rochedale Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Olympic FC beat Rochedale Rovers 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brisbane Olympic FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brisbane Olympic FC and 1.00 for Rochedale Rovers.

What was the final score of Brisbane Olympic FC vs Rochedale Rovers?

Brisbane Olympic FC 2-0 Rochedale Rovers in the Australia - National Premier League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Olympic FC vs Rochedale Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Olympic FC 44%, draw 24%, Rochedale Rovers 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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