Kerala Blasters 3-1 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.58
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
8%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 32% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
63%
+0.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.6pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.90
+12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +20%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.7 Crosses 14.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mohammedan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.02 xG 0.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
310 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-0 HT 0-0 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİNSL
20.10.2024 Mohammedan Mohammedan 1-2 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
3-1
AWAY Mohammedan
1.39 xG 0.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
479 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerala Blasters got the better of Mohammedan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kerala Blasters as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 64% of the ball to Mohammedan's 36%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kerala Blasters had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Kerala Blasters and 0.50 for Mohammedan.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan?

Kerala Blasters 3-1 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kerala Blasters win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 63%, draw 19%, Mohammedan 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kerala Blasters) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kerala Blasters) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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