Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 10 May 2026

Tokushima Vortis
1-2 HT 0-1
Nara Club
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
JAP2-3 – 2026

Tokushima Vortis vs Nara Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.9
No
40%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.9pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
49%
+10.9pp
40%
BTTS No
51%
-10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tokushima Vortis v Nara Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokushima Vortis EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.76/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.39
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.3 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Tokushima Vortis vs Nara Club Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nara Club
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
352 Passes 570
83% Pass Accuracy 89%
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2026 Nara Club Nara Club 0-6 HT 0-3 Tokushima Vortis Tokushima Vortis JAP2-3

Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Nara Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokushima Vortis
1-2
AWAY Nara Club
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
407 Passes 427
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokushima Vortis vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club nicked a narrow win over Tokushima Vortis 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tokushima Vortis at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Tokushima Vortis had 50% of the ball to Nara Club's 50%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Tokushima Vortis vs Nara Club?

Tokushima Vortis 1-2 Nara Club in the JAP2-3 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokushima Vortis vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokushima Vortis win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tokushima Vortis 56%, draw 24%, Nara Club 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tokushima Vortis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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