Montedio Yamagata 2-3 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 32% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 37%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.9 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montedio Yamagata
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
240 Passes 116
68% Pass Accuracy 50%
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.03.2026 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2-3
12.06.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 3-2 HT 3-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JPK
16.10.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-1 HT 0-1 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
30.05.2021 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-0 HT 2-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montedio Yamagata
2-3
AWAY Sagamihara
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
188 Passes 155
61% Pass Accuracy 57%
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sagamihara edged past Montedio Yamagata 3-2 away from home in the JAP2-3 on 10 May 2026. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Montedio Yamagata had 52% of the ball to Sagamihara's 48%, shots finished 14-19.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Montedio Yamagata have the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Montedio Yamagata and 1.00 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Montedio Yamagata 2-3 Sagamihara in the JAP2-3 on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Montedio Yamagata 39%, draw 23%, Sagamihara 38%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP2-3 More JAP2-3
10 May 2026
07:30 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Albirex Niigata Analysis →
08:00 Tochigi SC vs Blaublitz Akita Analysis →
08:00 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Vegalta Sendai Analysis →
08:00 Shonan Bellmare vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
08:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs Fujieda MYFC Analysis →
08:00 Fukushima United vs Jubilo Iwata Analysis →