JEF United 0-2 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 May 2026

JEF United
0-2 HT 0-2
Machida Zelvia
📅10/05/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✓
Japan - J1 League – 2026

JEF United vs Machida Zelvia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away Pick
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.64
Over
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.5
2-3
38%
1.7
4-5
24%
4.18
6+
9%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Machida Zelvia win — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

JEF United v Machida Zelvia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.55/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.11
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.4 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

JEF United vs Machida Zelvia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 2.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 288
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2026 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP
22.07.2023 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-3 HT 0-2 JEF United JEF United JAP2
03.06.2023 JEF United JEF United 0-2 HT 0-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
14.08.2022 JEF United JEF United 1-2 HT 0-1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JAP2
03.04.2022 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 1-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
10.10.2021 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 0-1 HT 0-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2

JEF United 0-2 Machida Zelvia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
0-2
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.96 xG 1.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 0
369 Passes 305
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia beat JEF United 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Machida Zelvia as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, JEF United had 56% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 44%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.96 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for JEF United and 1.33 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Machida Zelvia?

JEF United 0-2 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split JEF United 22%, draw 23%, Machida Zelvia 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Machida Zelvia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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