Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.38
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
30%
-6.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.44/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.15
-2% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
18.7 Crosses 18.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.45
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2026 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
23.08.2025 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
02.10.2021 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shimizu S-Pulse
1-1
AWAY Avispa Fukuoka
0.60 xG 0.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
307 Passes 215
75% Pass Accuracy 68%
11 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shimizu S-Pulse at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Shimizu S-Pulse had 56% of the ball to Avispa Fukuoka's 44%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.60 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.17 for Avispa Fukuoka.

What was the final score of Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Avispa Fukuoka in the Japan - J1 League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Shimizu S-Pulse 47%, draw 24%, Avispa Fukuoka 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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