Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Aug 2025

Avispa Fukuoka
0-0 HT 0-0
Shimizu S-Pulse
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2025

Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
4.32
6+ Goals
8%
22.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.99
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
16%
4.59
X/2
9%
6.73
X/X
12%
4.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
28.5
2/2
11%
5.38
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 11% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+7.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avispa Fukuoka v Shimizu S-Pulse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avispa Fukuoka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.04/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.05
-20% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
22.3 Crosses 18.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.1

Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.47 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 Passes 260
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.04.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
17.09.2022 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-2 HT 2-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
18.06.2022 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 3-1 HT 2-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
02.10.2021 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 HT 0-1 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP
06.03.2021 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-2 HT 1-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JAP
14.08.2019 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka JPK

Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avispa Fukuoka
0-0
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
0.89 xG 0.59
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
392 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avispa Fukuoka and Shimizu S-Pulse fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Avispa Fukuoka at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Avispa Fukuoka had 57% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 43%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.89 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shimizu S-Pulse led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Avispa Fukuoka and 2.17 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Avispa Fukuoka 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J1 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avispa Fukuoka vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avispa Fukuoka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Avispa Fukuoka 46%, draw 26%, Shimizu S-Pulse 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avispa Fukuoka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
23 Aug 2025
13:00 Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Analysis →
13:00 Cerezo Osaka vs Vissel Kobe Analysis →
13:00 Nagoya Grampus vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →
13:00 Albirex Niigata vs Kashima Antlers Analysis →
13:00 Gamba Osaka vs Yokohama FC Analysis →
13:00 Fagiano Okayama vs Shonan Bellmare Analysis →