Tokyo Verdy 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
6.01
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.77
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.8
X/1
11%
6.53
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
14%
3.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.19
2/X
10%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+1.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.2pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +9%
1.11/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.87
-12% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
14.4 Crosses 22.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
0.92 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
307 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 0-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-3 HT 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
23.07.2005 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 3-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-3
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.45 xG 1.44
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
391 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima ran out comfortable winners over Tokyo Verdy 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sanfrecce Hiroshima found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 59% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 41%, shots finished 20-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 2.60 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tokyo Verdy 0-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 28%, draw 32%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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