Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.01
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
6%
14.7
X/1
6%
9.09
X/2
19%
4.11
X/X
9%
4.84
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.29
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 56%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.94
-37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 81%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
15.4 Crosses 23.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.81 xG 2.37
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
328 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 1-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 2-3 HT 0-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JLK
23.07.2005 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0 HT 3-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
0-1
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.02 xG 0.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
335 Passes 443
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima edged past Tokyo Verdy 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 43% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 57%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.02 to 0.57 — on chances, Tokyo Verdy could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 3.33 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 23%, draw 22%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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