Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
9%
6.51
X/2
13%
5.28
X/X
10%
5.15
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
23%
3.09
2/X
10%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
33%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.38/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.05
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 84%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.1 Crosses 20.8
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 1.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
392 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
16.06.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
17.02.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale Japonya - SUper Kupa
12.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
22.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
29.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-0
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.25 xG 0.41
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
499 Passes 205
90% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale cruised past Vissel Kobe 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 67% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 33%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.25 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 0.83 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-0 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 29%, draw 28%, Vissel Kobe 43%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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