Vissel Kobe 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.44
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
9%
4.54
X/2
11%
8.15
X/X
12%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
21.45
2/2
11%
5.5
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.39/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.52
-8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.0 Crosses 13.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
343 Passes 394
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale Japonya - SUper Kupa
12.08.2023 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
22.07.2023 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-2 HT 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
29.10.2022 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-1 HT 1-0 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
18.05.2022 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale JAP
29.09.2021 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 HT 0-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
1-0
AWAY Kawasaki Frontale
3.43 xG 0.29
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
265 Passes 408
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Kawasaki Frontale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe nicked a narrow win over Kawasaki Frontale 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 41% of the ball to Kawasaki Frontale's 59%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 3.43 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vissel Kobe's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kawasaki Frontale led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vissel Kobe and 1.50 for Kawasaki Frontale.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Vissel Kobe 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale in the Japan - J1 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Kawasaki Frontale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 45%, draw 27%, Kawasaki Frontale 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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