Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 16 Jun 2024

Gamba Osaka
2-1 HT 2-0
Kashiwa Reysol
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.3
6+ Goals
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
9%
4.62
X/2
9%
6.42
X/X
18%
4.12
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
19%
4.97
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gamba Osaka v Kashiwa Reysol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gamba Osaka EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / -9%
1.70/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.22
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.8 Crosses 16.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gamba Osaka
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.79 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
405 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.07.2023 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 3-1 HT 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
18.02.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-2 HT 1-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
01.10.2022 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
14.05.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP
26.09.2021 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 2-1 HT 2-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
11.04.2021 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-0 HT 0-0 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka JAP

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gamba Osaka
2-1
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.66 xG 0.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
280 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gamba Osaka squeezed past Kashiwa Reysol 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Gamba Osaka made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gamba Osaka had 43% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 57%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.66 to 0.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gamba Osaka had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gamba Osaka and 0.83 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Gamba Osaka 2-1 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - J1 League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gamba Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gamba Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gamba Osaka 36%, draw 30%, Kashiwa Reysol 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gamba Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gamba Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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