Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Machida Zelvia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 7 Aug 2024

📅07/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.14/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.91
+21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +69%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
310 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
20.2 Crosses 23.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Machida Zelvia
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.68 xG 2.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
380 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 1
09.06.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-2 HT 2-2 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JLK
05.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-3 HT 1-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JLK
15.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka
0-0
AWAY Machida Zelvia
0.31 xG 1.25
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
314 Passes 187
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 21
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka and Machida Zelvia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka had 59% of the ball to Machida Zelvia's 41%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.31 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cerezo Osaka and 2.33 for Machida Zelvia.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Cerezo Osaka 0-0 Machida Zelvia in the Japan - J1 League on 07/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka vs Machida Zelvia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka 34%, draw 26%, Machida Zelvia 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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