Machida Zelvia 2-2 Cerezo Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Machida Zelvia EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerezo Osaka EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +20%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.19
+30% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Machida Zelvia
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.55 xG 1.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
193 Passes 380
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
05.06.2024 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 1-3 HT 1-0 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia JLK
15.05.2024 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Machida Zelvia
2-2
AWAY Cerezo Osaka
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Machida Zelvia and Cerezo Osaka shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Machida Zelvia had 41% of the ball to Cerezo Osaka's 59%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Machida Zelvia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Machida Zelvia and 1.00 for Cerezo Osaka.

What was the final score of Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka?

Machida Zelvia 2-2 Cerezo Osaka in the Japan - League Cup on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Machida Zelvia vs Cerezo Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Machida Zelvia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Machida Zelvia 38%, draw 26%, Cerezo Osaka 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Machida Zelvia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Machida Zelvia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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