Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - League Cup, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nagoya Grampus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.38/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.39
-1% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nagoya Grampus
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.06.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 1-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JLK
16.03.2024 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-2 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
03.12.2023 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol JAP
30.08.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 2-0 HT 0-0 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JPK
12.03.2023 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-3 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
06.07.2022 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 HT 0-1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nagoya Grampus
1-0
AWAY Kashiwa Reysol
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nagoya Grampus edged past Kashiwa Reysol 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Nagoya Grampus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nagoya Grampus had 47% of the ball to Kashiwa Reysol's 53%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nagoya Grampus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 0.67 for Kashiwa Reysol.

What was the final score of Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol in the Japan - League Cup on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashiwa Reysol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nagoya Grampus win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Nagoya Grampus 36%, draw 29%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nagoya Grampus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nagoya Grampus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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